Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001379 0.001468 0.001559 0.001660 0.001769 0.001884 0.002012
2024-10-27 0.001254 0.001376 0.001506 0.001655 0.001821 0.002003 0.002216
2024-11-03 0.001130 0.001268 0.001420 0.001599 0.001806 0.002038 0.002319
2024-11-10 0.001072 0.001227 0.001402 0.001613 0.001863 0.002152 0.002512
2024-11-17 0.001008 0.001173 0.001363 0.001598 0.001882 0.002218 0.002647
2024-11-24 0.000969 0.001146 0.001352 0.001612 0.001934 0.002322 0.002831
2024-12-01 0.000914 0.001095 0.001309 0.001584 0.001930 0.002356 0.002925
2024-12-08 0.000872 0.001057 0.001279 0.001569 0.001941 0.002406 0.003041
2024-12-15 0.000836 0.001024 0.001254 0.001558 0.001954 0.002458 0.003159
2024-12-22 0.000807 0.001000 0.001238 0.001558 0.001980 0.002526 0.003299
2024-12-29 0.000776 0.000970 0.001213 0.001544 0.001986 0.002568 0.003405
2025-01-05 0.000753 0.000950 0.001200 0.001543 0.002010 0.002633 0.003544
2025-01-12 0.000714 0.000911 0.001162 0.001513 0.001996 0.002651 0.003627
2025-01-19 0.000689 0.000888 0.001145 0.001508 0.002017 0.002718 0.003783
2025-01-26 0.000649 0.000842 0.001096 0.001458 0.001973 0.002692 0.003801
2025-02-02 0.000634 0.000831 0.001093 0.001471 0.002016 0.002791 0.004009
2025-02-09 0.000610 0.000807 0.001071 0.001457 0.002021 0.002834 0.004134
2025-02-16 0.000598 0.000798 0.001069 0.001470 0.002065 0.002935 0.004352
2025-02-23 0.000573 0.000771 0.001041 0.001445 0.002050 0.002948 0.004432
2025-03-02 0.000555 0.000751 0.001022 0.001432 0.002053 0.002987 0.004555
2025-03-09 0.000538 0.000733 0.001006 0.001422 0.002060 0.003032 0.004689
2025-03-16 0.000525 0.000721 0.000996 0.001421 0.002081 0.003099 0.004863
2025-03-23 0.000509 0.000703 0.000979 0.001409 0.002082 0.003135 0.004985